Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 4.518317 5.012456 5.540669 6.147800 6.826979 7.564043 8.425449
2026-01-25 3.659753 4.329594 5.096196 6.040535 7.175441 8.499066 10.165092
2026-02-01 3.065689 3.822738 4.739126 5.934760 7.460504 9.351537 11.887204
2026-02-08 2.631626 3.429723 4.442557 5.830143 7.694091 10.128652 13.577775
2026-02-15 2.323721 3.146465 4.234307 5.789621 7.975348 10.965810 15.415624
2026-02-22 2.137178 2.995046 4.172061 5.921255 8.482750 12.139740 17.833716
2026-03-01 1.935983 2.796563 4.016538 5.893019 8.743848 12.972540 19.832055
2026-03-08 1.727945 2.564076 3.784370 5.719932 8.759229 13.425683 21.282011
2026-03-15 1.582220 2.407697 3.645766 5.667240 8.942187 14.138029 23.201967
2026-03-22 1.499890 2.338681 3.630436 5.799885 9.423546 15.360631 26.087054
2026-03-29 1.427333 2.277142 3.618912 5.933328 9.912968 16.636614 29.199363
2026-04-05 1.339922 2.183211 3.545628 5.954391 10.209332 17.606715 31.870094
2026-04-12 1.242041 2.065793 3.426889 5.892335 10.364486 18.362523 34.273571
2026-04-19 1.148487 1.948010 3.297713 5.799934 10.456019 19.013303 36.560244
2026-04-26 1.063750 1.838333 3.173008 5.703032 10.527716 19.631397 38.854643
2026-05-03 0.987292 1.736895 3.054054 5.604674 10.584629 20.222913 41.161710
2026-05-10 0.927066 1.659650 2.971838 5.566653 10.752033 21.043203 44.040624
2026-05-17 0.894920 1.631046 2.975837 5.693215 11.255635 22.586639 48.663754
2026-05-24 0.845190 1.565575 2.905348 5.666307 11.443193 23.495089 51.991083
2026-05-31 0.782570 1.470859 2.771705 5.500424 11.324281 23.740111 53.828608
2026-06-07 0.738935 1.409564 2.697963 5.449931 11.443855 24.509259 56.985078
2026-06-14 0.718441 1.392161 2.709211 5.577128 11.960477 26.209733 62.607042
2026-06-21 0.699122 1.375582 2.720593 5.705075 12.490460 27.995465 68.680058